// pot odds calculator · exact

Pot odds calculator

Pot and bet in; the equity a call needs, how often the bettor’s bluff has to work, the minimum defence frequency and the river value-to-bluff ratio out, with the formula and your numbers in it. Add your outs to see whether the draw has the price, and if not, how much it has to win later to make up the difference.

pot odds3 to 115 : 5
your call needs25.0%equity to break even
MDF66.7%defend this often vs a bluff
a bluff must work33.3%for any two cards to profit
pot P = 10, bet B = 5
call needs   = B / (P + 2B) = 5 / 20 = 25.00%
MDF          = P / (P + B)  = 10 / 15 = 66.67%
bluff works  = B / (P + B)  = 5 / 15 = 33.33%
river value : bluff = (P + B) : B = 3.00 : 1  (bluffs 25.0% of bets)
Whether 9 outs can call this bet
9 clean outs, facing the bet…Hit chancevs neededCall EV nowMust win later, when it hits (same units)
on the flop, seeing the turn19.1% 9 / 47short by 5.9 pts−1.176.11
on the turn, seeing the river19.6% 9 / 46short by 5.4 pts−1.095.56
all-in on the flop, both cards35.0% 378 / 1081enough+1.99n/a: no more betting

Every common bet size

The price depends only on the bet as a fraction of the pot, so one table covers every stake. A third-pot bet asks for 20.0%; a pot-sized bet asks for 33.3%, exactly a third. The last column is the fewest clean outs that can call a turn bet on the price alone, one card to come.

Pot odds, required equity and MDF by bet size
BetPot oddsCall needsMDFBluff must workRiver value : bluffOuts to call a turn bet
Quarter-pot bet5 to 116.7%80.0%20.0%5 : 18
Third-pot bet4 to 120.0%75.0%25.0%4 : 110
Half-pot bet3 to 125.0%66.7%33.3%3 : 112
Two-thirds-pot bet2.5 to 128.6%60.0%40.0%5 : 214
Three-quarter-pot bet2.33 to 130.0%57.1%42.9%7 : 314
Pot-sized bet2 to 133.3%50.0%50.0%2 : 116
1.5× pot overbet1.67 to 137.5%40.0%60.0%5 : 318
2× pot overbet1.5 to 140.0%33.3%66.7%3 : 219
3× pot overbet1.33 to 142.9%25.0%75.0%4 : 320

Four numbers from one bet

Call P the pot before the bet and B the bet. Calling puts B at risk to win P + B, the pot plus the bet, so pot odds are (P + B) : B. Turned into a probability, the call breaks even when your share of the final pot pays for your call: required equity = B / (P + 2B), because the final pot is P + 2B and you put in B of it.

From the bettor’s side, a bluff risks B to win P, so it breaks even if the caller folds B / (P + B) of the time. The caller who wants to stop that has to continue the rest of the time, P / (P + B): the minimum defence frequency. On the river with a polarised range, the bettor who wants the caller indifferent bluffs B / (P + 2B) of their bets: the value-to-bluff ratio. That is the same number as the caller’s required equity, and that is the whole point: at that ratio a bluff-catcher wins exactly as much as it loses.

Draws rarely get the direct price on the flop and turn. What they hope to win later, when they hit, is implied odds, and the page prices exactly how much each draw needs at every size.

Every bet size

The ideas behind the numbers

// what is computed and what is assumed
  • The prices are exact. Pot odds, required equity, MDF and the bluff frequencies are arithmetic on the pot and the bet, printed as reduced fractions. Nothing is rounded until it is displayed.
  • Draw odds are counted. The chance of hitting comes from the outs chart, which deals every turn and river. We assume clean outs: every out wins and nothing else does. Real draws are dirtier, and against a stated range the spot check counts the real equity instead.
  • No rake, no future betting unless a page says otherwise. Implied odds are the one place we price a later street, and that page states its model.
  • MDF and the river ratio are a toy game, not a solver output: a bettor with only the nuts or air, a caller with only bluff-catchers. They say what stops the other player profiting automatically. They are not a strategy for any single hand.

Pot odds give the price. Whether your hand has the equity depends on what the bettor holds: the spot check counts it against a stated range, with the working.

Check a spot →

Put the maths into practice

Turn the price into a decision: try our flush-draw pot odds lesson, then test yourself in three poker spots.