// equity calculator · 3-way · flop

Set vs flush draw vs straight draw

All in on the flop on Th9h2s: 2c2d owns 56.8%, AhKh owns 25.9%, and QsJs owns 17.3% of the pot. Exact: the engine dealt all 903 possible run-outs.

Bottom set against the nut flush draw with two overcards and an open-ended straight draw, all in on the flop. The set is ahead now, and the table below shows which turn cards change that.

Board
T♥9♥2♠
HandEquityWinsSplitsEquity bar
2♣2♦56.81%56.81%0.00%
A♥K♥25.91%25.91%0.00%
Q♠J♠17.28%17.28%0.00%

The working

  1. Cards out of the deck. 3 hands × 2 + 3 on the board = 9, which leaves 43 unseen.
  2. Run-outs. 2 board cards to come from 43: C(43, 2) = 903 boards. The engine dealt every one of them and scored every hand on each, so nothing below is sampled.
  3. Equity. A board a hand wins outright is worth 1 pot; a split is worth 1 ÷ the number of hands sharing it. For 2♣2♦: (513 wins + 0 from 0 splits) ÷ 903 = 56.811%.
  4. Check. Every board's pot goes somewhere, so the equities add to 100.000%. No board is split, so win percentages and equities are the same thing here.

Card by card: the turn

Each of the 43 possible turns, and who leads once it lands. Each turn's equity is the average over the 42 rivers that can follow it, so these rows average back to the totals above.

2♣2♦leads after 29 turns
A♠A♦A♣Q♦Q♣J♦J♣T♠T♦T♣9♠9♦9♣7♠7♦7♣6♠6♦6♣5♠5♦5♣4♠4♦4♣3♠3♦3♣2♥
A♥K♥leads after 8 turns
Q♥J♥8♥7♥6♥5♥4♥3♥
Q♠J♠leads after 6 turns
K♠K♦K♣8♠8♦8♣
Every turn, with each hand's equity after it
Turn2c2dAhKhQsJs
A♠54.8%19.0%26.2%
A♦66.7%19.0%14.3%
A♣66.7%19.0%14.3%
K♠21.4%19.0%59.5%
K♦21.4%19.0%59.5%
K♣21.4%19.0%59.5%
Q♥21.4%78.6%0.0%
Q♦64.3%21.4%14.3%
Q♣64.3%21.4%14.3%
J♥21.4%78.6%0.0%
J♦64.3%21.4%14.3%
J♣64.3%21.4%14.3%
T♠100.0%0.0%0.0%
T♦100.0%0.0%0.0%
T♣100.0%0.0%0.0%
9♠100.0%0.0%0.0%
9♦100.0%0.0%0.0%
9♣100.0%0.0%0.0%
8♠23.8%16.7%59.5%
8♥23.8%76.2%0.0%
8♦23.8%16.7%59.5%
8♣23.8%16.7%59.5%
7♠57.1%16.7%26.2%
7♥23.8%76.2%0.0%
7♦69.0%16.7%14.3%
7♣69.0%16.7%14.3%
6♠57.1%16.7%26.2%
6♥23.8%76.2%0.0%
6♦69.0%16.7%14.3%
6♣69.0%16.7%14.3%
5♠57.1%16.7%26.2%
5♥23.8%76.2%0.0%
5♦69.0%16.7%14.3%
5♣69.0%16.7%14.3%
4♠57.1%16.7%26.2%
4♥23.8%76.2%0.0%
4♦69.0%16.7%14.3%
4♣69.0%16.7%14.3%
3♠57.1%16.7%26.2%
3♥23.8%76.2%0.0%
3♦69.0%16.7%14.3%
3♣69.0%16.7%14.3%
2♥100.0%0.0%0.0%

What each hand wins with

Share of all 903 boards that each hand wins outright, by the made hand it shows down. Splits are left out, so each column adds to that hand's win rate, not its equity.

Made hand2c2dAhKhQsJs
Straight flush·0.11%·
Four of a kind4.65%··
Full house30.90%··
Flush·25.36%3.10%
Straight·0.44%14.17%
Three of a kind21.26%··
// settle the thread

The link carries every card. Anyone who opens it gets the same counts, dealt again in their own browser.

Suits, a dead card, a different board: any change moves these numbers. Open the deal in the calculator and change anything; it is dealt again in your browser.

Change the cards →
// what is computed, and what is assumed
  • Computed: every possible run-out, dealt from the cards nobody holds, and every hand scored on each by the same engine that runs the trainer. Splits are shared equally among the hands in them. No sampling, so no error bars.
  • Assumed: everyone sees the showdown. Equity is each hand's share of the pot if nobody folds and no more money goes in. That is exact when everyone is all-in; with chips behind it is a starting point, not a verdict, because folds, bets and implied odds are not in it.
  • Specific hands only. Multi-way equity against ranges multiplies the work by the number of combos per player, so it is not here. For one hand against a range, with the bet priced in big blinds, use the spot check.
  • Input: cards as rank then suit, spaces optional: Ah Kd, Tc 9c, or AhKd. Dead cards are any cards you know are gone, such as a folded hand.

More multi-way spots

SpotStreetFavouriteEquityBoards dealt
AA vs KK vs QQpreflopA♥A♦66.9%1,370,754
AA vs KK vs QQ vs JJpreflopA♥A♦54.6%1,086,008
AKo vs QQ vs JJpreflopQ♥Q♣46.5%1,370,754
AA vs KK vs AKpreflopA♥A♦84.9%1,370,754
AKo vs AQo vs KQopreflopA♠K♦72.0%1,370,754
JTs vs AA vs KKpreflopA♠A♦64.3%1,370,754
22 vs AKo vs KQspreflop2♠2♣40.3%1,370,754
Overpair vs top two pair vs flush drawflopK♦Q♦51.9%903
Top pair vs flush draw vs gutshot, on the turnturnA♠J♦66.7%42
KK vs top pair vs flush drawflopA♥Q♣55.7%903
Six hands all in prefloppreflopA♥A♦41.7%658,008